Opponent brief: Example Team
Games played: 9 · Page 1 of 14
EXAMPLE DATA. Not a real team, game or result. A cleared real sample will replace this page.
Offense
Third-and-short is a run down.
- Observed
- On third down needing 1–2 yards, they ran the ball 14 of 17 times.
- Evidence
- 17 plays across 7 games. Recorded play-by-play.
- Reliability
- PBP_OBSERVED
- Why it matters
- Inference: on third-and-short, the run is the first problem to solve.
- Verify on film
- Personnel and formation on those 17 snaps, and the three passes.
Defense
Red-zone trips against them end in touchdowns.
- Observed
- Opponents scored a touchdown on 5 of 9 trips inside the 20.
- Evidence
- 9 trips across 6 games. Recorded play-by-play.
- Reliability
- PBP_OBSERVED LOW-SAMPLE Fewer than 15, so shown as a count, with no rate and no ranking.
- Why it matters
- Inference: drives that reach the 20 may be worth playing for seven.
- Verify on film
- How the touchdowns were scored, and whether one game accounts for most of them.
Special teams
Returning their kickoffs costs field position.
- Observed
- Kickoff returns against them ended, on average, short of the touchback spot.
- Evidence
- Average start at the 22.0 on 24 returns across 8 games, against 25 for a touchback. Without the longest return: 21.4. Two returns with a penalty on the play are listed separately.
- Reliability
- PBP_OBSERVED for the yard lines. MODEL_INFERRED for the value.
- Why it matters
- Inference: taking the touchback is worth about 3 yards, roughly 0.15 expected points per kick, by a drive-value model built from every drive of the season.
- Verify on film
- Where their kicks land, and how fast the coverage arrives on returns fielded inside the 10.
Pages 2–14: offense, defense and special teams in full, the film checklist, and an appendix listing every source, threshold and supporting play.